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Growth forecast falls to 6% in RBI survey

Professional forecasters have added to Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Duvvurri Subbarao’s dilemma on timing the exit from an accommodative monetary policy stance.

The Economic Times reports a median forecast released by RBI in the pre-policy ‘Macroeconomic and Monetary Developments: Second Quarter Review 2009-10’ this evening lowered the economic growth projection to 6 per cent from the 6.5 per cent projected three months ago. At the same time, the forecast on inflation based on the wholesale price index (WPI) was raised to 3 per cent, as against 1.6 per cent estimated earlier.

Last week, the Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council headed by C Rangarajan had said the economy could grow between 6.25 per cent and 6.75 per cent, as against the 7-7.5 per cent projected in January.

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